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something horrible to happen, or you need a total collapse of the economy. i don't see either. >> well, we're actually talking about two different events. relative to a correction this year, i think that we're looking at something similar to 2011. 10 to 20% off in the second or third quarter, kind of a reaction to this building uncertainty, this volatility we have seen since february. in terms of the bigger crash call that i've been making for more than a year now, as the s&p continues to top out very similar as it did in 2000 to 2007, i think you're right. i think that we are looking at some kind of external shock situation. >> no, no, i'm not -- i'm saying that's what you need to make your forecast right. i'm not predicting that. i don't see the end of the world scenario. i don't buy it. >> and i hope that bernanke -- >> gold signal. i just don't buy it. and so much liquidity -- seema, are you hearing this end of the world -- all right. let's take abigail. 10 to 20% correction. are you hearing that? >> if the fed pulls back on monetary support sooner than expected, i think there are trad
the same with gold. i think the drop in gold is a very positive signal for the longer term economy. but i think these events coming together so rapidly, what went on in boston and the gold crack up and you mentioned commodities, it has given people an excuse to take whatever, 5% to 7% breather in stocks. >> i think that's a good point. what we don't talk about, money coming out of gold is not a bad thing. it's a positive thing in the long run for equities. other commodities especially oil, gasoline prices come down 17% from their peak. i think that's going to be a positive in the economy. so you have to look at the bright side of some of these things. but you're right, it's impossible to separate the emotional from the economic. and we have both going on. a tragedy occurred. it's hard to separate both. >> emotion plays a big role in the stock market. art, thank you very much. we'll resume our coverage of the boston marathon bombing investigation when the kudlow report comes right back. maxwell is not. he's on geico.com setting up an appointment with an adjuster. ted is now on hold with hi
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